36 20 5 Rank in State, Class, District |
984 -143 Strength Momentum |
1262 47.4(38) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/24/15 | at Santa Fe Prep | 0.000 | 722 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1117 | 75% | |
08/28/15 | at Clovis | 0.000 | 1305 | L 2- 8 | Expected (-3) | 852 | 17% | |
08/29/15 | at Bosque ? | 0.000 | 1185 | L 0- 9 | Expected (-7) | 632 | 26% | |
08/29/15 | at Farmington | 0.000 | 1220 | L 0-10 | Expected (-7) | 594 | 23% | |
09/03/15 | Moriarty ?? | 0.001 | 458 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-6) | 659 | 94% | |
09/05/15 | Artesia | 0.002 | 674 | L 1- 3 | Worse (-5) | 717 | 82% | |
09/12/15 | Miyamura | 0.006 | 675 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1019 | 83% | |
09/17/15 | Highland | 0.017 | 907 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 984 | 61% | |
09/19/15 | at Capital !! | 0.020 | 1074 | W 3- 1 | Better (+3) | 1141 | 37% | |
09/24/15 | at Rio Rancho | 0.006 | 1444 | L 0-10 | Expected (-5) | 706 | 9% | |
09/26/15 | Cleveland | 0.004 | 1384 | L 0-10 | Expected (-6) | 653 | 15% | |
09/30/15 | at St. Michael's | 0.053 | 1262 | L 0- 6 | Expected (-3) | 831 | 20% | |
10/07/15 | Cibola | 0.016 | 1546 | L 0-10 | Expected (-5) | 733 | 7% | |
10/10/15 | Rio Rancho | 0.021 | 1444 | L 0-10 | Expected (-6) | 683 | 11% | |
10/12/15 | at Volcano Vista | 0.045 | 1463 | L 0-10 | Expected (-5) | 715 | 8% | |
10/14/15 | at Cleveland | 0.079 | 1384 | L 0- 9 | Expected (-5) | 732 | 12% | |
10/17/15 | Bernalillo ! | 0.498 | 958 | W 1- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1009 | 56% | |
10/21/15 | Volcano Vista | 0.303 | 1463 | L 0- 5 | Expected (0) | 960 | 10% | |
10/23/15 | at Cibola | 0.090 | 1546 | L 0-10 | Expected (-4) | 757 | 5% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Santa Fe actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1262, while
Santa Fe's "weighted playing strength" is 927
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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