2015 Season results for Santa Fe (GV,1-6A)

36   20   5
Rank in
State, Class, District
984     -143
Strength     Momentum
1262   47.4(38)
SOS,       RPI(RPI Rank)

Season Records:
Overall  5W   14L   0T 
District  0W   8L   0T 
Expected  16:   1+   2- 
("W L T" = Win Loss Tie,
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
 

DateOpponent1 RGWF4 Opp
Strength
ResultExpectation2Playing
Strength
P(Win)3Send
EMail
08/24/15 at Santa Fe Prep 0.000722W 5- 0 Expected (+3)1117 75%
08/28/15 at Clovis 0.0001305L 2- 8 Expected (-3) 852 17%
08/29/15 at Bosque ? 0.0001185L 0- 9 Expected (-7) 632 26%
08/29/15 at Farmington 0.0001220L 0-10 Expected (-7) 594 23%
09/03/15 Moriarty ?? 0.001458L 1- 2 Worse (-6) 659 94%
09/05/15 Artesia 0.002674L 1- 3 Worse (-5) 717 82%
09/12/15 Miyamura 0.006675W 4- 0 Expected (+1)1019 83%
09/17/15 Highland 0.017907W 2- 1 Expected (0) 984 61%
09/19/15 at Capital !! 0.0201074W 3- 1 Better (+3)1141 37%
09/24/15 at Rio Rancho 0.0061444L 0-10 Expected (-5) 706 9%
09/26/15 Cleveland 0.0041384L 0-10 Expected (-6) 653 15%
09/30/15 at St. Michael's 0.0531262L 0- 6 Expected (-3) 831 20%
10/07/15 Cibola 0.0161546L 0-10 Expected (-5) 733 7%
10/10/15 Rio Rancho 0.0211444L 0-10 Expected (-6) 683 11%
10/12/15 at Volcano Vista 0.0451463L 0-10 Expected (-5) 715 8%
10/14/15 at Cleveland 0.0791384L 0- 9 Expected (-5) 732 12%
10/17/15 Bernalillo ! 0.498958W 1- 0 Expected (+1)1009 56%
10/21/15 Volcano Vista 0.3031463L 0- 5 Expected (0) 960 10%
10/23/15 at Cibola 0.0901546L 0-10 Expected (-4) 757 5%
      Notes:
      1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game
         Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Santa Fe actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted
      2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin
      3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference
      4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game
      * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage

The median opponent strength is 1262, while
Santa Fe's "weighted playing strength" is 927
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)

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